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Hot Spells Last week's New York Times Week in Review section offered a tiny blurb about the recent hot weather headlined "How the Heat Came On." Ostensibly, the article set out to explain the meteorological conditions that created the mini heat wave that New York City went through last week. "Hot spells occur," Andrew Revkin wrote, "because surfaces are heating and the oceans serve as a depository for that accumulating energy." But before getting into that he made sure to point out, "Global warming has little to do with hot spells." This note on global warming really struck me. How could Revkin be so certain and authoritative that last week's heat wave was completely unrelated to a broader trend of global warming? In fact, he can't be. It will be at least a few years before we have any idea of how 2005, or the spring of 2005, or last week's hot spell fit in to the big picture of man-made climate change. It takes time for trends to show themselves. Ross Gelbspan, author of Boiling Point, argues that the continuing denial of global warming is, essentially, a "crime against humanity." The criminals Gelbspan is thinking of are mostly people like Phillip Clooney, the former oil industry lobbyist and recently resigned Bush administration official who went out of his way to edit EPA climate reports in ways that play down links between man-made emissions and global warming. But what about Revkin's blasé, off-the-cuff global warming denial in the Times on Sunday? Where does that fit in on the crimes-against-humanity spectrum? In some ways I find this little New York Times blurb equally troublesome. With a Phillip Clooney, you know exactly what you're dealing with (He has gone back to work for Exxon-Mobil). Revkin, however, is supposed to be on the side of truth and objectivity. His hot spells article either shouldn't have said anything about global warming or it just should have noted that we can't really know if a particular heat wave is part of a broader trend -- just as we can't know whether a specific pack of cigarettes causes a lung cancer to start growing. To my mind, the mini-denial of the Times is very different but almost just as bad. It works on a much more subtle, unconscious level than Clooney's heavy-handed, egregious actions. The Times article lulls us with its calm authority. It gives the sophisticated Sunday reader the comforting sense that global warming is something happening somewhere else -- in Alaska and Antarctica. Our hot spells gots nothing to do with it. Don't worry says this blurb. You still don't really need to think about how your fossil fuel-intensive consumer-oriented way of life is impacting the wider world or even your very own weather. Indeed, last week's hot spells were merely the result of localized meterological phenomenon.... totally disconnected from broader global trends.... you're getting sleepy... very sleepy... You're flipping to the Sunday Automobiles section now... You're looking at the ad for the new Subaru Deforester... If you owned one you could get the hell out of this steaming, hot city and go to the beach... Now when I snap my fingers...
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According to this Guardian story, the Bush administration is prepared to act on Global Warming...sort of:
-------------------- http://www.guardian.co.uk/g8/story/0,13365,1521053,00.html He [Bush] made clear that he was not ready to sign up to an agreement to reduce carbon emissions: "If this looks like Kyoto, the answer is no. The Kyoto treaty would have wrecked our economy, if I can be blunt." Instead, he said he wanted to talk with fellow G8 leaders about developing new technologies to limit climate change without reducing the availability of energy to individuals and businesses. -------------------- Guess what one of those "technologies" will be...bikes? Nope. Bush's EPA is funding a study of PRT: http://tod.hacienda.org/PRT/epa.htm
Sadly the Times is under constant criticism for being part of the "east coast media elite." So they have to put sentences in there that make it look like they're not trying to be too obvious about their championing of Global Warming, for example. In Revkin's defense, he didn't say a hot spell had "nothing to do" with global warming. I think he was trying to gently remind people that you can't judge a macro-trend from a micro-event. A decade of history is probably as little evidence one can look at to try to discern a notable trend in the global atmospheric change. Clearly, global warming is an enormous problem that will affect all of us and our children, and the decades of data do bear it out. But if the Times were to try to find evidence of this trend in a particular hot spell, they'd be branded as alarmist, having an agenda, or sloppy in their science.
Interesting points, AD. But my question is still: Why bother to mention global warming at all? Why not simply leave it out of the piece altogether rather than go out of your way to say that the local micro-trend has nothing to do with global warming? In fact, he doesn't really know whether that week's hot spells were a part of a bigger trend. We won't know that for years or even decades, perhaps. So, why go out of your way to deny the connection?
Hmmm, yes he could have avoided mentioning it all together. Judging from his past articles, Andrew C. Revkin's beat is global climate change. That's what he covers. So he probably has to mention the macro trends whenever he writes a story because otherwise he wouldn't be doing his job. He'd be veering off topic. Or maybe he just mentions it by force of habit.
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